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Facts
of Equity Investments
1. Equity
investment is not a business of EPS and P/E alone. Its
a business of valuation of products/ companies/ management/
business models/equity ownership.
2.
Many technical analysts in India sometimes fail to factor
various time zones to work out crucial resistance or
support level. Price movement preceding
and following events like long holiday, death and/or
resignation of key management personnel, purchase or
sale of a brand, addition and/or deduction of a
large customer,book closure and the no delivery period.
In short, charts have to be Indianised.
3.
Seasoned market observers have often commented that
a study of human nature is far more useful for investors
than just number crunching skills.
4.
Stock Market is a market of contradictory opinions and
contrarian behaviors. Unless there is a disagreement,
price will not move on either side. There will always
be a seller for every buyer.
5.
Wherever one invests, however research one carry out
or whom ever one consults; ultimately 99% is one's destiny.
Only 1% factors are within human control. However, this
1% is very much crucial. One must put in best efforts
in this 1%-human to make the other 99%-destiny work
in one's favor.
6.
"Good Equity' moves up irrespective of any push or support
or market operator. The company selection should be
such that later on it becomes buying compulsion for
others.
7.
A financial asset is valued after factoring true possibility
of some unprecedented event in the future. For good
event market starts giving price premium in advance
and for bad event market starts discounting the price
in advance.
8.
Many of the IPO during year 2000 were very highly priced
and marketed in such a fashion so as to induce gullible
semi literate investors to chip in their money. Retail/institutional
investors normally are more inclined in subscribing
the overpriced IPO than directly buying an undervalued
listed stock from the stock market. He derives a fallacious
comfort from many people subscribing the IPO and
does not wish to be left out. While buying straight
from market needs lot of skills and many a times one
is alone to buy the listed stock and sometime price
falls after he buys. One should buy VALUES and not
illusory SAFETY.
9.
Most of the investors, retail or qualified, do no wish
to face a downward price after he buys. Now, if the
downward occurs from secondary market purchase he has
no one to blame but himself which in no circumstance
he wants under the fear of sarcastic remarks from peer
pressure group like wife, partner, colleagues, banker,
his staff, friend or relative. (Qualities of investor)
Now if IPO goes below issue price on listing he has
so many things to pass the blame on to save attacks
from peer pressure group.
10.
Following the same principal the average investor chooses
to be fiscally illiterate, though appearing to be educated
and he buys from secondary market most talked about
stock at almost peak level which very often 10 to 100
times higher than stocks 52 week low.
11.
No investor on his own can sell at the top i.e. after
you sell price must go down. Similarly no one can capture
bottom i.e. after you buy it is not necessary that price
must go up, it may go down further. Only Equity specialists
can be nearer to top and bottom.
12. Old saying at Bombay Stock Exchange:
BHAV BHAWAN. This means PRICE IS GOD. However savvy
an investor you are if market price is going against
you, better be careful and start interospection.
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